The assessment of prospects for growth of cargo turnover of the international transport corridor "North – South" in modern conditions

The dynamics of the global market contributes to the increase in the number and potential of transport corridors. The North-South transport corridor considered in the work is one of the strategic ones in ensuring the flow of goods in the direction of India-Iran-Azerbaijan-Russia-European Union.

A predictive analysis of the dynamics of the development of the freight turnover of the transport corridor was carried out, drivers and barriers to its development were identified in the context of changes in the geopolitical and economic environment of the markets. Attention is paid to the issues of balanced development of the potential of transport corridors, taking into account the formation of nodal transport and logistics centers at the intersections of meridional and latitudinal corridors.

It is shown that railway transport in the ITC "North-South" in its Russian segment is becoming a key factor in the development and competitiveness of transportation compared to alternative routes. The issues of the competitiveness of container transportation of the ITC "North - South" in the conditions of growing multimodality and the growth of containerized cargo are considered. Prospects for the development of the ITC "North-South" in the future depend on active organizational decisions in ensuring the planning and regulation of flows, excluding international barriers in its development, as well as the introduction of digital technologies for monitoring and managing flows.

1. Fedorenko, R. V. Modern Issues of Development of the Customs and Logistics Infrastructure of the International North-South Transport Corridor / R. V. Fedorenko, S. I. Ashmarina, Vochozka M. // Sustainable Growth and Development of Economic Systems. Contributions to Economics. - Springer Cham, 2019. - P. 63-75. - DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-11754-2-5.

2. For assessment of the potential international transport corridor development: theoretical aspects / E. А. Mamaev, D. V. Sorokin, I. D. Dolgiy // Vestnik Rostovskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Putey Soobshcheniya. - 2020. - No. 4. - P. 89-101. - DOI 10.46973/0201-727X_2020_4_89.

3. Sakalys, R. Research on Intermodal Terminal Interaction in International Transport Corridors / R. Sakalys, N. Batarliene // Procedia Engineering. - 2017. - Vol. 187. - P. 281-288. - DOI 10.1016/j.proeng.2017.04.376.

4. Prinston, P. World Transport System and Logistics : the Main Directions of Development / P. Prinston. - URL: https://www.searates.com/blog/post/world-transport-system-and-logistics-the-main-directions-of-development (date of access: 06/22/2023).

5. Akperov, I. G. Directions of Complex Regional Socio-Economic Development Based on Cognitive Modeling of Realization of Investment Strategy / I. G. Akperov, N. V. Brukhanova, D. I. Dynnik ; in ed. by R. Aliev et al. // 13th International Conference on Theory and Application of Fuzzy Systems and Soft Computing - ICAFS-2018. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing. - Vol. 896. - Springer Cham. - DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-04164-9_56.

6. Efficient and secure logistics transportation system / M. V. Kolesnikov, N. N. Lyabakh, E. A. Mamaev, M. V. Bakalov // IOP Conf. Series: Materials Science and Engineering. - 2020. - IOP Publishing. - DOI 10.1088/1757-899X/918/1/012031.

7. Modeling of the rail freight traffic by the method of economic-geographical delimitation in the region of the south-easter coast of the Baltic Sea / O. N. Chislov, V. A. Bogachev, V. M. Zadorozhniy [et al.] // Transport Problems. 2019. Vol. 14. - P. 77-87. - DOI 10.20858/tp.2019.14.2.7.

8. Prokofiev, M. N. Rospects for North-South transport corridor / M. N. Prokofiev, M. M. Tahirov // World of transport and transportation. - 2019. - Vol. 17, Iss. 5. - P. 200-213. - DOI 10.30932/1992-3252-2019-17-5-200-213.

9. Russian Federation government decree No. 2101-r dated 30.09.2018 « On a comprehensive plan for the modernization and expansion of the trunk infrastructure for the period up to 2024 (as amended on 13.03.2020)». - URL: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/551365461 (date of access: 09/20/2020).

10. Mamaev, E. A. Current trends in the development of transport corridors in Russia and the world / E. A. Mamaev, B. I. Alibekov // Conf. «Transport: science; education; production». - RGUPS, 2018. - Vol. 1. - P. 40-43.

11. Mamaev, E. A. Strategic trends of cargo turnover in major hubs : Assessment, clustering and prediction / E. A. Mamaev, A. N. Guda, B. A. Levin [et all.] // International Journal of Economic Perspectives. - 2017. - Iss. 11 (2).

12. Mikhaylyk, M. Empirical markers in the concept of digital logistics of multichannel supply chains / M. Mikhaylyk, V. Baginova, E. Mamaev // Topical Problems of Architecture, Civil Engineering and Environmental Economics (TPACEE 2018). E3S Web Conf. Vol. 91. - 2019. - DOI 10.1051/e3sconf/20199108056.

13. Haghighi, M. Development of container transit from the Iranian south ports with a focus on the international north south transport corridor / M. Haghighi, T. Hassangholi Pour, H. Khodadad Hossani [et al.] // Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation: Maritime Transport and Shipping. - 2013. - P. 187-193.

14. Pak, E. Transit Potentials of Russia and Kazakhstan. World economy and international relations. - 2020. - Vol. 64, No 11. - P. 132-138. - DOI 10.20542/0131-2227-2020-64-11-132-138.

15. Trans-Caspian International Transport Route. Available at: https://middlecorridor.com/ru (date of access: 02/14/2020).

16. Solhdoost, M. (2021) Iran's geo-strategic orientations toward China and India, Journal of the Indian Ocean Region / M. Solhdoost. - DOI 10.1080/19480881.2021.1878583.

17. Davtyan, V. Armenia's transport security within the framework of ITC TRACECA and “North-South” / V. Davtyan. - MATEC Web of Conferences 212. - 05004. - 2018. - DOI 10.1051/matec-conf/201821205004.

18. Timakova, O. А. Strategy of the gulf countries: Special aspects of policy towards central Asian countries / O. A. Timakova // Central Asia and the Caucasus. - Vol. 21, Iss. 1. - P. 33-42 - DOI 10.37178/ca-c.20.1.03.

19. Mamaev, E. A. To assess the development potential of the «North-South» international transport corridor / E. A. Mamaev, D. V. Sorokin // Transsib news. - 2020. - No. 3. P. 86-96. - EDN SKXKAC.